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Ontario imports 600 megawatts from a U.S. firm as Pickering reactors go dark

Ford's August threat to cut power to Americans now sits beside a winter contract, and the deeper exposure is the natural gas Ontario burns.

Published · 11:26

Summary

In August 2026, after trade talks collapsed and the U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on about $20 billion of Canadian goods, Premier Doug Ford said everything was on the table, including cutting electricity to the United States. On October 1, the Independent Electricity System Operator announced a six-month deal to import 600 megawatts from Alpha Generation, a U.S. company, starting November 1.

The video argues the electricity contract is the smallest part of the story. Pickering supplied about 10% of Ontario's electricity, roughly 2,200 MW, and the IESO called the purchase normal system planning. The IESO also said Ontario exported nearly seven times more power than it imported in 2025. The sharper vulnerability, the video argues, is natural gas, much of it from the United States, which Keith Brooks of Environmental Defence Canada says Ontario burns to generate power.

The video notes that Ontario's 2025 energy plan targets 99% zero-emissions electricity by 2050, and asks whether building is keeping pace. It also applies Mark Carney's trade logic, several routes so no single partner holds leverage, to the grid. Viewers should watch November 1, the undisclosed price and Pickering's pace.

Key points

  • Ontario will import 600 megawatts from Alpha Generation for six months, starting November 1.
  • Pickering's four reactors supplied about 10% of Ontario's electricity, roughly 2,200 MW.
  • Ontario exported nearly 7 times more power than it imported in 2025.
  • The United States imposed 50% tariffs on about $20B of Canadian goods on August 22.
  • Ontario's 2025 energy plan targets 99% zero-emissions electricity by 2050.
  • Ontario's grid feeds about 1.5 million people in Michigan, New York and Minnesota.

Questions answered

Why is Ontario importing electricity from New York this winter?

The IESO has arranged a six-month deal for 600 megawatts from Alpha Generation, a U.S. company, starting November 1. The video links it to the Pickering nuclear refurbishment, which takes four reactors offline. Those reactors supplied about 10% of Ontario's electricity, roughly 2,200 MW. The IESO described the purchase as normal system planning.

How much more power did Ontario export than import in 2025?

The video cites the IESO saying Ontario exported nearly seven times more electricity than it imported in 2025. Its neighbours include Quebec and New York. The video presents that 7-to-1 ratio as proof Ontario is a net exporter, not an energy-dependent province, though it argues the real vulnerability is natural gas.

Why does the video say natural gas is Ontario's real weak point?

The video cites Keith Brooks of Environmental Defence Canada, who says the United States supplies most of the natural gas Ontario burns to generate electricity. He argues that if the Americans shut off that gas, Ontario could not even power its own lights, so Ford's threats to withhold energy were idle from the start.

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Prepared by the CanadaNext Editor with AI assistance from public reporting and CanadaNext's own videos. Sources are linked. How we work