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Trump's Iowa promises on Canadian dairy tariffs and Keystone meet Bill C-202

Trump told Iowa farmers they would pay no Canadian dairy tariffs and that Canada would fund Keystone, but a Canadian law limits what Ottawa can promise.

Published · 10:32

Summary

On Sunday, Donald Trump told a crowd in Dubuque, Iowa, two days before Americans vote, that Canada charges a 400% tariff on milk and that US farmers will pay nothing under a coming deal. He also said Canada would build the Keystone pipeline and pay for all of it. The video counters that Canada's highest dairy tariff, on butter, is 298.5%, and that most of what Trump listed was already Canada's to begin with.

Canada's dairy border has two layers, the video explains: a tariff-free quota that Trump's 2018 NAFTA renegotiation won for US farmers, and high tariffs above it. Bill C-202 passed the House of Commons unanimously and received royal assent on June 26, 2025. It bars the minister from any trade commitment that would widen that quota or cut tariffs above it, leaving Trump's zero-tariff promise at odds with Canadian law.

The dairy fight reaches US farms through Canada's September retaliation: 50% on American whey, milk powders and proteins, and 25% on most American cheese, answering Washington's July tariffs. On Keystone, the video says Carney raised renewed national interest with Trump in October 2025, and a successor project got Trump's permit in April. The channel argues Canada's own offers were presented as American wins.

Key points

  • Trump claimed Canada charges a 400% tariff on milk; the video says Canada's highest dairy tariff, on butter, is 298.5%.
  • In 2025 the US sold about $1.3B USD of dairy into Canada, while Canada sold about $433M USD back.
  • Bill C-202 passed the House of Commons unanimously and received royal assent on June 26, 2025.
  • Canada's September retaliation: 50% on US whey, milk powders and proteins, and 25% on most US cheese.
  • Wisconsin dairy farms could lose $65–113M USD a year in a sustained fight, according to University of Wisconsin estimates cited in the video.
  • The Keystone successor could lift Canadian crude exports to the US by 12%+.

Questions answered

Does Canada charge a 400% tariff on US milk?

No. The video says Canada's highest dairy tariff is on butter at 298.5%, and that none of Canada's rates is 400%. It also notes the US sold about $1.3B USD of dairy into Canada in 2025, against about $433M USD going the other way.

What does Bill C-202 say?

It states the minister must not make any trade treaty or agreement commitment that would increase the tariff-free dairy, poultry or egg quota, or reduce tariffs above that quota. The House of Commons passed it unanimously, and it received royal assent on June 26, 2025.

Why is Canada putting tariffs on US dairy?

Trump signed proclamations on July 20 putting 50% tariffs on Canadian dairy ingredients, citing how Canada allocates its cheese quota. Ottawa answered on September 8 with 50% on US whey, milk powders and milk proteins, and 25% on almost every kind of US cheese. Butter, fluid milk, cream and yogurt were left alone.

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Prepared by the CanadaNext Editor with AI assistance from public reporting and CanadaNext's own videos. Sources are linked. How we work